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2024-12-14 11:54:39

Russian central bank: Russia's current account surplus in November was $3.2 billion.As of December 6, 2024, Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves were $12.1 billion.ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing, ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing. However, because monetary policy is still restrictive and past interest rate hikes are still being transmitted to the credit stock, financing conditions are still tightening. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.


ECB: Domestic inflation has dropped slightly, but it is still at a high level. ECB: Staff now expect the economic recovery to be slower than predicted in September. As time goes on, the influence of restrictive monetary policy gradually fades, which should support the recovery of domestic demand. Domestic inflation has declined slightly, but it is still at a high level, mainly because wages and prices in some industries are still being adjusted to adapt to the past inflation surge.After the European Central Bank decided not to interest rates, the yield of euro zone government bonds changed little; The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 2.14%.Real estate stocks are active again and again. Huayuan Real Estate and Qixia Construction both have daily limit, while Huayuan Real Estate, Qixia Construction, Xinhualian and Xinhuangpu have daily limit, while Suzhou Gaoxin, China Wuyi and Shahe shares have followed suit.


Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.Black futures fell rapidly in the short term, with the main contracts of hot coil and coking coal falling by more than 1%, and the main contracts of coke, thread and iron ore falling by nearly 1%.European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.

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